Pre-tourney Rankings
Grand Canyon
Western Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#134
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#91
Pace71.5#135
Improvement-5.0#336

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#162
First Shot+1.0#146
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#214
Layup/Dunks+5.3#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#306
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#273
Freethrows+1.3#89
Improvement-4.6#336

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#126
First Shot+0.6#156
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#75
Layups/Dunks-0.3#194
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#69
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#224
Freethrows+0.1#166
Improvement-0.5#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 259   Portland St. W 82-72 85%     1 - 0 +1.0 -1.9 +2.3
  Nov 19, 2015 313   Alcorn St. W 79-46 92%     2 - 0 +19.9 -2.4 +21.3
  Nov 23, 2015 341   Mississippi Valley W 94-60 95%     3 - 0 +16.7 +14.3 +2.1
  Nov 30, 2015 249   Hampton W 63-51 83%     4 - 0 +3.8 -11.9 +15.9
  Dec 03, 2015 157   Central Michigan W 75-72 67%     5 - 0 +0.5 -5.9 +6.3
  Dec 05, 2015 11   @ Louisville L 63-111 6%     5 - 1 -28.1 -2.6 -21.6
  Dec 08, 2015 242   Southern W 70-56 82%     6 - 1 +6.3 -4.5 +11.0
  Dec 13, 2015 147   Nebraska Omaha L 104-108 65%     6 - 2 -5.9 +24.3 -30.1
  Dec 15, 2015 349   Delaware St. W 88-59 97%     7 - 2 +9.2 +4.0 +3.8
  Dec 18, 2015 53   @ San Diego St. W 52-45 16%     8 - 2 +19.7 -5.2 +25.5
  Dec 21, 2015 59   Houston W 78-69 25%     9 - 2 +18.2 +5.9 +12.3
  Dec 22, 2015 150   Marshall W 85-81 55%     10 - 2 +4.9 -2.6 +6.9
  Dec 28, 2015 309   @ SIU Edwardsville W 86-75 81%     11 - 2 +3.9 +6.6 -3.3
  Jan 03, 2016 312   Bethune-Cookman W 74-53 91%     12 - 2 +7.9 +1.6 +8.3
  Jan 07, 2016 347   UT Rio Grande Valley W 83-63 96%     13 - 2 1 - 0 +1.1 +6.5 -3.8
  Jan 09, 2016 112   New Mexico St. W 79-75 56%     14 - 2 2 - 0 +4.7 +15.8 -10.8
  Jan 16, 2016 282   Utah Valley W 99-88 88%     15 - 2 3 - 0 +0.2 +1.8 -3.7
  Jan 21, 2016 348   @ Chicago St. W 90-65 92%     16 - 2 4 - 0 +11.7 +4.1 +5.5
  Jan 23, 2016 253   @ UMKC W 85-78 68%     17 - 2 5 - 0 +4.4 +11.3 -6.7
  Jan 28, 2016 110   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-64 54%     18 - 2 6 - 0 +7.0 -4.7 +11.2
  Jan 30, 2016 292   Seattle L 57-59 89%     18 - 3 6 - 1 -13.6 -11.4 -2.4
  Feb 04, 2016 112   @ New Mexico St. L 50-70 33%     18 - 4 6 - 2 -13.4 -13.6 -0.9
  Feb 06, 2016 347   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 64-58 91%     19 - 4 7 - 2 -7.0 -16.1 +9.1
  Feb 12, 2016 292   @ Seattle W 71-60 77%     20 - 4 8 - 2 +5.3 -0.8 +6.1
  Feb 18, 2016 253   UMKC W 78-66 84%     21 - 4 9 - 2 +3.6 +6.3 -1.7
  Feb 20, 2016 348   Chicago St. W 67-52 96%     22 - 4 10 - 2 -4.1 -9.7 +6.6
  Feb 27, 2016 110   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 62-77 33%     22 - 5 10 - 3 -8.2 -4.3 -3.8
  Mar 01, 2016 39   @ St. Mary's L 64-73 14%     22 - 6 +4.9 -2.9 +7.5
  Mar 05, 2016 282   @ Utah Valley W 86-79 75%     23 - 6 11 - 3 +2.0 -4.4 +5.3
Projected Record 23.0 - 6.0 11.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.0%
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%